Web Bot Project – Clif High and George Ure.
Web Bot
Web Bot is an Internet Bot computer program whose developers claim is able to predict future events by tracking keywords entered on the internet. It was developed in 1997, originally to predict stock market trends.[1] The creator of the Web Bot Project, Clif High, along with his associate George Ure, keep the technology and algorithms largely secret and sell the predictions via the website.
Methodology
Internet bots monitor news articles, blogs, forums, and other forms of Internet chatter. Words in the lexicon are assigned numeric values for emotional quantifiers such as duration, impact, immediacy, intensity, and others. The lexicon is dynamic, and changes according to shifts in emotional tension, and how humans communicate those changes using the Internet. As of 2008, there were about 300,000 keywords in the lexicon, along with emotional context[2] which are fed into a computer-generated modelspace. However, many believe the predictions are vague and, at best, pseudoscientific.[3]
Predictions
Claimed hits
- Northeast Blackout of 2003[4]
- 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake[4][5]
- Hurricane Katrina and its devastation[4][6]
Misses
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- A massive earthquake in Vancouver, Canada and the Pacific Northwest was predicted to occur on 12 December 2008.[7]
- The US dollar completely collapses, or Israel bombs Iran in 2011. In reaction to this crisis, administration of U.S. President Barack Obama will be thrown into major chaos ten days later.[8]
- Major catastrophe in 2012 – The Web Bot gained most of its notoriety for contributing to the 2012 phenomenon by predicting a cataclysm that would devastate the planet on December 21, 2012, possibly a reversing of Earth’s magnetic poles or a small series of nuclear attacks leading up to a major attack during the year. The prediction did not call for a complete end of the world.[9][10][11]
Reception
The History Channel has discussed Web Bot in its special Doomsday 2012 and on other shows like Nostradamus Effect which feature predictions about the end of the world.[12] A Globe and Mail journalist noted that “What interests me more than the bot’s accuracy (of which I’m skeptical), is the relentless negativity of its projections. According to the bot, the future is always bleak and steadily worsening.”[7] Tom Chivers in the Daily Telegraph notes three criticisms of the project: “the internet might plausibly reveal group knowledge about the stock market or, conceivably, terror attacks [but] it would be no more capable of predicting a natural disaster than would a Google search, … the predictions are so vague as to be meaningless, [and] the prophecies become self-distorting.”[1]
References
- Chivers, Tom (24 September 2009). “‘Web-bot project’ makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse”. The Daily Telegraph (London). Retrieved 4 October 2009.
- Shamah, David (23 December 2008). “Digital World: I have seen the future, and it’s on the Web”. The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 4 October 2009.
- “Web Bot, What is it? Can it Predict Stuff?”. Daily Common Sense.
- Menon, Vinay (16 April 2008). “Decoding the End of Days”. Toronto Star. Retrieved 25 October 2009.
- “World’s expiry date: 21 December 2012?”. NewKerala.com. Retrieved 3 October 2009.
- “‘Web-bot project’ makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse”. Ethiopian Review. Retrieved 4 October 2009.
- Taylor, Timothy (January 2009). “Vanwaterworld? Hold the Armageddon talk”. Globe and Mail (Canada). Retrieved 4 October 2009.
- “The Market’s Current Psychological Map”. Seeking Alpha. Retrieved 25 October 2009.
- “World’s expiry date: 21 December 2012?”. ExpressIndia. Retrieved 3 October 2009.
- “2012 Disaster Film Director Admits he Scared Himself”. The Epoch Times. Retrieved 25 October 2009.
- “El Nostradamus virtual (in Spanish)”. El Día. Retrieved 25 October 2009.
- “History TV Shows”. History.com. Retrieved 4 January 2012.
This page was last modified on 2 August 2014 at 03:05.
See Also:
The Nostracodeus Team
- Grady. Edmonton, Alberta. Ex IBM’er and heavy iron, high reliability fanatic.
- Mike. Calgary, Alberta. Microsoft Developer Network (MSDN) Multiple year MVP award winner.
- George. Palestine, TX. Type A software and sales geek, MBA, tree farmer, writer, pilot, egomaniac, yada yada.
http://nostracodeus.com/?page_id=10
File Contents / Inventory:
An Unfortunate Web Bot Hit
http://www.urbansurvival.com/week.htm (print circa 5/5/05)
An Unfortunate Web Bot Hit Once again the “future seeing” technology of http://www.halfpasthuman.com has shocked us with its accuracy in apparently describing in …
http://www.freedomcrowsnest.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=8597 – 93k – Cached – Similar pages – Note this
WEB BOTS – SOMETHING COMING OUR WAY?
The references on West Coast earthquakes, for example, are one possibility…the 3 CME’s (or whatevers) are another.” An Unfortunate Web Bot Hit …
http://www.surfingtheapocalypse.net/cgi-bin/forum.cgi?noframes;read=72726 – 10k – Supplemental Result – Cached – Similar pages – Note this
ALTA 105
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://halfpasthuman.com/HPHALTA105.htm
ALTA 605
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://halfpasthuman.com/HPHALTA605firsttimers.htm
ALTA Reports 2004 Extracts & Explanations & Early (2001-2003) Links
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHALTAEXTRACT.htm
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHALTAEXTRACT.htm
All above print copie circa 5/5/05
ALTA IR – 1305 – September 12, 2005
Part 3: Special Supplemental – Attacks against Los Angeles? and Melbourne?
Asymmetric Language Trend Analysis Intelligence Report
‘Changes in language precede changes in behavior.’
By Tenax SE for HalfPastHuman.com
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/alta_1305_3_1s.htm
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/alta_1305_3_1s.htm
print copy circa 9/20/05
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En le Rongeant (all print copies circa 5/5/05)
3.19.2004/V1,I3
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHRONGELOS_0319.htm
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHRONGELOS_0328.htm
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHRONGELOS_0404.htm
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHRONGELOS_0502.htm
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http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHTOC.htm Print circa 5/19/04 & 9/15/04 !!!
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHTOC.htm
http://halfpasthuman.com/group/community/HPHTOC_SUB.htm
Print Circa 9/15/04
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ALTA report hits? You decide.
05.05.2004
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPH_ALTAHIT.htm print circa 5/19/04
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPH_ALTAHIT.htm
-=-=-
ALTA IR – 01-04-2004 New Year – Three Falling Fruit
Asymmetric Language Trend Analysis Intelligence Report
‘Changes in language precede changes in behavior.’
By Tenax SE for HalfPastHuman.com
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/alta/alta01042004.htm
ALTA IR – DAILY 9-22-2003 Equinox + 1
Asymmetric Language Trend Analysis Intelligence Report
‘Changes in language precede changes in behavior.’
By Tenax SE for HalfPastHuman.com
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/alta/alta92203.htm (print copy 1/22/04)
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/alta/alta92203.htm
Web Bot Updated Posted July 2, 2003
Urgent Web Bot Update: Terror Concern Up
From the think tank, a special Wednesday afternoon update. Based on our work, we expect that DoD efforts using less capable technologies will likely find aspects of the same data, although the policy question sure to rage is whether to raise the national threat level to Orange. The difficulty with the threat level change is that the Administration no doubt is concerned about the impact of raising the threat level, because it becomes much like the “boy who cried wolf.” Yet, if our read of the web bot data is correct, there may be reason to elevate the threat level tomorrow.
ALTA IR
Asymmetric Language Trend Analysis Intelligence Report
‘Changes in language precede changes in behavior.’
By Tenax SE
July 2003 (#1)
Vol. 1 No. 7-1
http://www.urbansurvival.com/newbots.htm (print copy 1/20/04)
Urban Survival’sInside Report# 4 November 10,2001
http://www.urbansurvival.com/nlnov10.htm
Urban Survival’sInside Report# 6December 1, 2001
http://www.urbansurvival.com/nldec02.htm
Urban Survival’sInside Report# 3 November 4,2001
http://www.urbansurvival.com/nlnov2.htm (print copy 1/20/04)
Replaying 1929 ?
Updated November 2, 2001 6:50 AM Pacific
http://www.urbansurvival.com/webbot2.htm (print copy 1/20/04)
Urban Survival’sInside Report# 2 October 27,2001
http://www.urbansurvival.com/nloct26.htm (print copy 1/20/04
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ALTA IR – DAILY
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHALTA.htm (print copy circa 1/22/04)
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHALTA.htm
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHFH.htm
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SKED analysis is a tool for thinking
http://www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHSKED.htm (print copy circa 1/22/04
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2003 Web Bot Project Predictive Analysis and Interpretation
http://www.urbansurvival.com/2003anl.htm
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Web Bot Technology
http://www.urbansurvival.com/simplebots.htm
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.urbansurvival.com/simplebots.htm
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“private placement alta/web bot report”
www.halfpasthuman.com/HPHALTA105.html
print copy (circa 12/13/04)
-=-=-=-
Replaying 1929?
From columns around: July 7-15, 2001
http://www.urbansurvival.com/tip.htm
(written 7/20/01 – print copy circ 1/20/07)
Replaying 1929?
From:July 29, 2001
Ready to Crash the West? Re-monetizing Gold
http://www.urbansurvival.com/goldnow.htm
http://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.halfpasthuman.com/
(print copy circ 1/20/04)